The Longevity Argument: The Doomsday Argument Is Wrong, And Logical Induction Has A Philosophical Basis.

The Doomsday Argument, Self-Sampling Assumption, and Self-Indication Assumption are wrong; J. Richard Gott III's delta t argument underestimates longevity, providing lower bounds on probabilities of longevity, and is equivalent to Laplace's Rule of Succession; but Non-Parametric Predictive Inference based on the work of Bruce M. Hill and Frank P.A. Coolen is consistent with a plausible theory of induction; and Ayn Rand's identification of characteristics as ranges of measurement establishes a philosophical foundation for such a theory of induction.This monograph is a much-revised and much-expanded version of the author's article, "Past Longevity as Evidence for the Future," published in the January 2009 issue of Philosophy of Science, often recognized as the leading peer-reviewed journal on the philosophy of science. Since its publication, that article has been cited favorably in these top-ranked philosophical journals: Journal of Philosophy, Analysis, Synthese, and Ratio.

• | Author: Ronald Pisaturo
• | Publisher: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform
• | Publication Date: May 08, 2016
• | Number of Pages: 90 pages
• | Language: English
• | Binding: Paperback
• | ISBN-10: 1532847416
• | ISBN-13: 9781532847417